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The Tabularium · Call 2026-07-03-02Hit

The IACHR will proceed with its 4 August hearing on Porras-era political-persecution claims as scheduled (not postponed or cancelled).

PartnershipsCentral AmericaGuatemala
Issued No. 3 · 3 Jul 26  ·  Due 5 Aug 26  ·  Opening call 75% — likely

The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.

The trajectory

The call stands at its probability until revised; each dot is a recorded reading.0%50%100%3 Jul 26 — 75% (No. 3): Opening calldue 5 Aug 26Hit75%3 Jul 26

The record since

The call stands as issued — no revisions.

What would overturn it

A postponement or cancellation of the August 4 hearing.

The verdict

Hit  Resolved 10 Aug 26.

The IACHR hearings proceeded within its 196th Period of Sessions (Aug 3-7, Washington); Guatemala's Public Ministry appeared before the Commission and, for the first time, formally acknowledged the institution was used under Attorney General Consuelo Porras to persecute justice operators, journalists, and human-rights defenders. No postponement or cancellation occurred.

Source: https://www.prensalibre.com/guatemala/justicia/secretario-del-mp-reconoce-ante-la-cidh-que-la-institucion-fue-cooptada-durante-gestion-de-consuelo-porras-para-garantizar-impunidad/

As logged at issue

The Inter-American Commission on Human Rights hears Porras-era political-persecution claims from Guatemala on August 4.

Cite this call

The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-07-03-02 — recorded 3 Jul 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-07-03-02.html