UNODC's next annual estimate (due around mid-2027, covering 2026) will show Southeast Asian scam-network losses at or above this year's $88.3-114.1 billion range, i.e. no meaningful year-over-year decline despite the new Cambodia-U.S. coordination push.
The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.
The trajectory
The record since
The call stands as issued — no revisions.
What would overturn it
UNODC's 2027 regional threat assessment report figure for East/Southeast Asia, Australia, and New Zealand scam losses; a report showing a clear year-over-year decline in that range would overturn this call.
The verdict
Open Resolves by 31 Jul 27 — graded at the weekly Reckoning against the criteria above, and recorded here.
As logged at issue
UNODC's 2026 report found scam losses tripled in two years to $88.3-114.1 billion, with syndicates' shared financial and technology infrastructure outpacing crackdowns even as Cambodia's Hun Manet pledges a nationwide push after meeting FBI Director Kash Patel.
Cite this call
The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-07-24-02 — recorded 24 Jul 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-07-24-02.html