The Andean Court of Justice orders an interim suspension of Peru's REINFO informal-mining program within its 40-day response window (by approximately September 3, 2026).
The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.
The trajectory
The record since
The call stands as issued — no revisions.
What would overturn it
A published Andean Court interim-measures order suspending or materially restricting REINFO, versus the court deferring action pending Peru's full response or a later merits ruling.
The verdict
Open Resolves by 3 Sep 26 — graded at the weekly Reckoning against the criteria above, and recorded here.
As logged at issue
We think it's unlikely that the Andean Court of Justice orders an interim suspension of Peru's REINFO program within its 40-day response window, since Lima has extended the informal-mining shield repeatedly for years and a supranational court has no fast enforcement mechanism to compel compliance.
Cite this call
The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-07-25-03 — recorded 25 Jul 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-07-25-03.html