President-elect de la Espriella formally severs Colombia's diplomatic relations with Cuba and Nicaragua by his August 7 inauguration.
The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.
The trajectory
The record since
The call stands as issued — no revisions.
What would overturn it
A formal notification to Havana or Managua, or a decree signed on or before August 7; watch for the plan being watered down to a downgrade-in-place rather than a full break.
The verdict
Hit Resolved 10 Aug 26.
De la Espriella's severance of relations with Cuba and Nicaragua took effect with his Aug 7 inauguration, reported as a full break -- distinct from the downgrade-to-concurrent-representation applied to 14 other embassies closed for austerity reasons -- with Cuba's Foreign Ministry publicly protesting the move.
As logged at issue
Colombia's president-elect pledged to sever ties with Cuba and Nicaragua and close 14 embassies ahead of his August 7 inauguration.
Cite this call
The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-07-28-01 — recorded 28 Jul 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-07-28-01.html