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The Tabularium · Call 2026-07-28-03Open

No execution is carried out under Myanmar's new anti-scam law within six months of its July 28 enactment.

PartnershipsAsia / PacificMyanmar
Issued No. 28 · 28 Jul 26  ·  Due 28 Jan 27  ·  Opening call 65% — likely

The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.

The trajectory

The call stands at its probability until revised; each dot is a recorded reading.0%50%100%28 Jul 26 — 65% (No. 28): Opening calltodaydue 28 Jan 2765%28 Jul 26

The record since

The call stands as issued — no revisions.

What would overturn it

A confirmed execution report from Myanmar state media or a rights monitor tied specifically to this statute, as opposed to continued quiet deportation of foreign scam-compound operators to China.

The verdict

Open  Resolves by 28 Jan 27 — graded at the weekly Reckoning against the criteria above, and recorded here.

As logged at issue

Myanmar's parliament enacted a law setting the death penalty for coercion, torture, or unlawful detention of scam-compound workers where the offense causes death.

Cite this call

The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-07-28-03 — recorded 28 Jul 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-07-28-03.html