Congress appropriates any portion of the pledged $1 billion Colombia security package within 90 days, by November 6, 2026.
The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.
The trajectory
The record since
The call stands as issued — no revisions.
What would overturn it
Language in an appropriations or supplemental bill naming Colombia's security package specifically, versus the pledge remaining unfunded while bilateral cooperation proceeds on existing authorities.
The verdict
Open Resolves by 6 Nov 26 — graded at the weekly Reckoning against the criteria above, and recorded here.
As logged at issue
Roughly even odds Congress appropriates any portion of the pledged $1 billion Colombia security package within 90 days, by November 6 -- the State Department's announcement is a stated intent pending congressional action, not a funded program, and packages this size routinely stall in committee. Watch for language in an appropriations or supplemental bill naming Colombia specifically, versus the pledge remaining unfunded while bilateral cooperation proceeds on existing authorities.
Cite this call
The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-08-08-02 — recorded 8 Aug 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-08-08-02.html