USDA's planned reopening of the Douglas, Arizona port to Mexican cattle, bison, and horse imports proceeds on schedule on August 24, 2026, without a new screwworm-related delay.
The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.
The trajectory
The record since
The call stands as issued — no revisions.
What would overturn it
USDA APHIS confirming the Douglas reopening proceeds on August 24; the counter-signal would be a new screwworm detection in Sonora or northern Chihuahua before then, or an APHIS delay announcement.
The verdict
Miss Resolved 24 Aug 26.
A new USDA-confirmed screwworm detection occurred in Sonora (Munihuasa, ~Aug 19-20) before Aug 24, which this call's own counter-signal defines as the trigger — even though the Douglas port did open on schedule Aug 24.
The trigger fired on detection alone rather than on an actual delay, so the letter of the counter-signal and the real-world outcome (port opened anyway) pulled in opposite directions; graded per the fixed, literal counter-signal.
Source: https://fortune.com/2026/08/23/sonora-screwworm-case-border-reopening-gamble/
As logged at issue
It's likely USDA's planned August 24 reopening of the Douglas port to Mexican cattle imports proceeds on schedule despite Chihuahua's admission that containment will take over a year -- unless a new case surfaces closer to the Sonora border first.
Cite this call
The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-08-10-03 — recorded 10 Aug 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-08-10-03.html