Irish prosecutors will file at least one additional charge against another named Kinahan Organised Crime Group figure within 90 days of Daniel Kinahan's August 9 charge (by November 9, 2026).
The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.
The trajectory
The record since
The call stands as issued — no revisions.
What would overturn it
A Garda/DPP announcement of charges against another named KOCG figure; the counter-signal would be the case remaining confined to Kinahan alone through the window.
The verdict
Open Resolves by 9 Nov 26 — graded at the weekly Reckoning against the criteria above, and recorded here.
As logged at issue
It's roughly an even chance Irish prosecutors extend Daniel Kinahan's case to another named Kinahan Organised Crime Group figure within 90 days, testing whether Sunday's charge stays a single prosecution or widens.
Cite this call
The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-08-11-03 — recorded 11 Aug 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-08-11-03.html