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The Tabularium · Call 2026-08-17-01Hit

Venezuela's government will not have moved the Caracas families displaced by the August 16 rains -- from the Misión Vivienda OPP-10 complex and the Panteón boulevard encampment -- into permanent housing within 30 days (by September 16, 2026).

Illegal ImmigrationSouth America & CaribbeanVenezuela
Issued No. 48 · 17 Aug 26  ·  Due 16 Sep 26  ·  Opening call 70% — likely

The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.

The trajectory

The call stands at its probability until revised; each dot is a recorded reading.0%50%100%17 Aug 26 — 70% (No. 48): Opening calldue 16 Sep 26Hit70%17 Aug 26

The record since

The call stands as issued — no revisions.

What would overturn it

A concrete, named permanent-rehousing program for these specific families, versus another round of temporary tents or no visible relocation.

The verdict

Hit  Resolved 21 Sep 26.

As of September 18, 2026 families from Misión Vivienda OPP-10 and the Panteón/Bolívar Avenue encampments were still in tents and temporary shelters, publicly demanding intervention over unsanitary conditions; no concrete, named permanent-rehousing program had materialized.

Source: https://curadas.com/2026/09/18/clamor-en-la-avenida-bolivar-damnificados-exigen-ayuda-urgente/

As logged at issue

We think it's likely Venezuela's government will not have moved the Caracas families displaced twice -- first by June's earthquake, now by this weekend's rains -- into permanent housing within 30 days, consistent with the state's slow response to the original quake; a concrete rehousing program, not another round of tents, would overturn this.

Cite this call

The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-08-17-01 — recorded 17 Aug 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-08-17-01.html