Sinaloa Governor Ruben Rocha Moya will remain out of office (on leave, not resuming his duties) for at least 60 consecutive days from his August 22, 2026 second leave request.
The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.
The trajectory
The record since
The call stands as issued — no revisions.
What would overturn it
A confirmed return to office by Rocha Moya before October 22, 2026 would overturn this; a formal, sustained interim-governor arrangement through that date would confirm it.
The verdict
Non liquet Resolved 26 Oct 26.
Interim governor was elected Aug 25 and no return was reported before Oct 22, but the evidence is absence of reports.
Status-persistence calls rest on absence of news; hard to confirm.
As logged at issue
Sinaloa's Congress is likely to keep Governor Rocha Moya out of office for at least 60 days this time, given Sheinbaum's public rebuke -- a quick third return, as happened in May, would be the signal his political shielding is still intact.
Cite this call
The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-08-23-01 — recorded 23 Aug 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-08-23-01.html