Peru's Constitutional Court issues a ruling on the pending Ositran regulatory-oversight dispute over the Chancay port within 90 days (by December 5, 2026).
The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.
The trajectory
The record since
The call stands as issued — no revisions.
What would overturn it
A published Constitutional Court ruling on the merits of the Ositran/COSCO dispute before December 5; continued pendency with no ruling by that date is the counter-signal (and the more likely outcome, given the court's typical pace on politically sensitive cases).
The verdict
Open Resolves by 5 Dec 26 — graded at the weekly Reckoning against the criteria above, and recorded here.
As logged at issue
Peru: we think it's unlikely -- roughly one-in-three -- that Peru's Constitutional Court rules on the pending Ositrán oversight dispute over the Chancay port within 90 days (by December 5), given the court's typical pace on politically sensitive cases and no sign of an expedited calendar. A ruling issued before that date is the signal we're wrong.
Cite this call
The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-09-06-03 — recorded 6 Sep 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-09-06-03.html