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The Tabularium · Call 2026-09-10-02Hit

The US does not formally pause or suspend deportations to Haiti within 30 days of UN High Commissioner Volker Türk's September 8 call to halt such returns.

Illegal ImmigrationSouth America & CaribbeanHaitiUnited States
Issued No. 72 · 10 Sep 26  ·  Due 8 Oct 26  ·  Opening call 85% — very likely

The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.

The trajectory

The call stands at its probability until revised; each dot is a recorded reading.0%50%100%10 Sep 26 — 85% (No. 72): Opening calldue 8 Oct 26Hit85%10 Sep 26

The record since

The call stands as issued — no revisions.

What would overturn it

A DHS or State Department announcement of a Haiti-specific removal pause, or its absence through October 8.

The verdict

Hit  Resolved 12 Oct 26.

No US pause: removal flights to Haiti continued (fourth flight Sept 12, 400+ returned); no DHS/State announcement found.

Source: https://haitiantimes.com/2026/09/12/us-deports-82-people-on-fourth-flight-to-haiti/

As logged at issue

The administration has not altered a removal policy in response to UN or rights-group criticism at any point in 2026 despite repeated such appeals, most recently on the same 23-death custody toll Türk cited.

Cite this call

The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-09-10-02 — recorded 10 Sep 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-09-10-02.html