Poland does not formally request NATO Article 4 consultations specifically citing the September 13, 2026 Yahodyn drone strike within 14 days (by September 28, 2026).
The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.
The trajectory
The record since
The call stands as issued — no revisions.
What would overturn it
A Polish government announcement formally invoking Article 4 over this specific strike; counter-signal: a further or closer Russian drone strike actually landing on Polish territory.
The verdict
Hit Resolved 28 Sep 26.
No formal Polish Article 4 request citing the Sept 13 Yahodyn strike was found by Sept 28; Tusk convened ministers, military and intelligence chiefs on Sept 14 but announced no NATO consultation request or force-posture change. The only territorial incidents in the window -- a Russian drone that washed up on a Baltic beach (explicitly not linked to an attack by Poland's Armed Forces Operational Command) and a 42-second, ~300m Russian helicopter incursion from Kaliningrad on Sept 23 -- don't rise to 'a further/closer drone strike actually landing on Polish territory.'
As logged at issue
Likely that Poland does not formally request NATO Article 4 consultations specifically over Sunday's Yahodyn drone strike within 14 days (by September 28) -- the drone hit Ukrainian, not Polish, soil, and Warsaw has reserved past Article 4 requests for incidents that crossed into its own territory or airspace. A strike that actually lands inside Poland, rather than near it, is the signal that would flip this.
Cite this call
The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-09-14-02 — recorded 14 Sep 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-09-14-02.html