At least one additional country beyond Taiwan formally restricts pork or live-swine imports from South Sudan within 45 days of Taiwan's September 20 ASF listing (by November 4, 2026).
The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.
The trajectory
The record since
The call stands as issued — no revisions.
What would overturn it
A formal import ban or restriction notice from another country's animal-health authority naming South Sudan.
The verdict
Open Resolves by 4 Nov 26 — graded at the weekly Reckoning against the criteria above, and recorded here.
As logged at issue
At least one more country is likely to restrict pork or live-swine imports from South Sudan within 45 days, extending Taiwan's new listing, since animal-health regulators typically move in step once a first ASF confirmation is posted.
Cite this call
The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-09-20-02 — recorded 20 Sep 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-09-20-02.html