At least one other Latin American government formally designates the IRGC a terrorist organization within 6 months of Colombia's September 2026 break with Iran (by March 25, 2027).
The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.
The trajectory
The record since
The call stands as issued — no revisions.
What would overturn it
A formal designation announcement by another Latin American government would confirm this; continued rhetorical condemnation of Iran without an actual designation keeps it a miss.
The verdict
Open Resolves by 25 Mar 27 — graded at the weekly Reckoning against the criteria above, and recorded here.
As logged at issue
Colombia's President Abelardo de la Espriella severed ties with Iran and designated the IRGC a terrorist organization on Sept. 24, following his August restoration of ties with Israel -- a realignment that could prompt other governments in the region to follow, though designations of this kind have historically moved one capital at a time.
Cite this call
The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-09-25-02 — recorded 25 Sep 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-09-25-02.html