Malaysia returns at least 1,000 additional Myanmar nationals to Myanmar in one or more further phases after the Sept 29 first phase, by 2026-11-30.
The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.
The trajectory
The record since
The call stands as issued — no revisions.
What would overturn it
Malaysian Home Ministry, UNHCR or wire reports of a further return phase totalling at least 1,000 people.
The verdict
Open Resolves by 30 Nov 26 — graded at the weekly Reckoning against the criteria above, and recorded here.
As logged at issue
Malaysia will likely move at least another 1,000 people to Myanmar in a second return phase within 60 days (by November 30). A court order, or Myanmar halting acceptance, is the signal that would overturn this.
Cite this call
The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-09-30-02 — recorded 30 Sep 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-09-30-02.html