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The Tabularium · Call 2026-10-03-03Open

By December 31, 2026, Panama's attorney general files formal criminal charges against former port regulators or CK Hutchison executives over the canal-port concession.

Illicit Trade / Econ SecurityCentral AmericaPanamaChina
Issued No. 95 · 3 Oct 26  ·  Due 31 Dec 26  ·  Opening call 25% — unlikely

The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.

The trajectory

The call stands at its probability until revised; each dot is a recorded reading.0%50%100%3 Oct 26 — 25% (No. 95): Opening calltodaydue 31 Dec 2625%3 Oct 26

The record since

The call stands as issued — no revisions.

What would overturn it

A public criminal filing by the attorney general would overturn it.

The verdict

Open  Resolves by 31 Dec 26 — graded at the weekly Reckoning against the criteria above, and recorded here.

As logged at issue

Unlikely that by 31 December Panama’s attorney general files formal criminal charges against former port regulators or CK Hutchison executives over the canal-port concession; a public filing would overturn it.

Cite this call

The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-10-03-03 — recorded 3 Oct 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-10-03-03.html