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The Tabularium · Call 2026-10-06-02Open

UAE prosecutors announce formal charges against, or a referral to trial of, the flydubai FZ1073 co-pilot by November 6, 2026.

National SecurityAfrica / Middle EastUAEOman
Issued No. 98 · 6 Oct 26  ·  Due 6 Nov 26  ·  Opening call 60% — likely

The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.

The trajectory

The call stands at its probability until revised; each dot is a recorded reading.0%50%100%6 Oct 26 — 60% (No. 98): Opening calltodaydue 6 Nov 2660%6 Oct 26

The record since

The call stands as issued — no revisions.

What would overturn it

A UAE Public Prosecution or WAM announcement of charges or referral; a prolonged investigation with no announcement would overturn it.

The verdict

Open  Resolves by 6 Nov 26 — graded at the weekly Reckoning against the criteria above, and recorded here.

As logged at issue

Likely that UAE prosecutors announce formal charges or a referral to trial for the flydubai co-pilot by 6 November; a prolonged investigation with no announcement would overturn it.

Cite this call

The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-10-06-02 — recorded 6 Oct 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-10-06-02.html