Intelligence from the Global Frontier

← The Tabularium · Editions

The Tabularium · Call 2026-10-08-04Open

Both chambers of Colombia's Congress give final approval to the counterterrorism statute by June 30, 2027.

PartnershipsSouth America & CaribbeanColombia
Issued No. 100 · 8 Oct 26  ·  Due 30 Jun 27  ·  Opening call 35% — unlikely

The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.

The trajectory

The call stands at its probability until revised; each dot is a recorded reading.0%50%100%8 Oct 26 — 35% (No. 100): Opening calltodaydue 30 Jun 2735%8 Oct 26

The record since

The call stands as issued — no revisions.

What would overturn it

A fast-track agreement with the main opposition blocs would overturn it; a Constitutional Court setback would reinforce it.

The verdict

Open  Resolves by 30 Jun 27 — graded at the weekly Reckoning against the criteria above, and recorded here.

As logged at issue

Unlikely that both chambers of Colombia's Congress give final approval to the counterterrorism statute by June 30, 2027. It needs an absolute majority and Constitutional Court review.

Cite this call

The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-10-08-04 — recorded 8 Oct 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-10-08-04.html