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The Tabularium · Call 2026-10-10-03Open

UAE authorities publicly announce formal charges or a trial referral against the flydubai co-pilot by 2026-12-31.

National SecurityAfrica / Middle EastUnited Arab EmiratesOmanIsrael
Issued No. 102 · 10 Oct 26  ·  Due 31 Dec 26  ·  Opening call 30% — unlikely

The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.

The trajectory

The call stands at its probability until revised; each dot is a recorded reading.0%50%100%10 Oct 26 — 30% (No. 102): Opening calltodaydue 31 Dec 2630%10 Oct 26

The record since

The call stands as issued — no revisions.

What would overturn it

An official statement naming a court and trial date would overturn it.

The verdict

Open  Resolves by 31 Dec 26 — graded at the weekly Reckoning against the criteria above, and recorded here.

As logged at issue

Unlikely that UAE authorities publicly announce formal charges or a trial referral against the flydubai co-pilot by December 31, 2026; an official statement naming a court and trial date would overturn it.

Cite this call

The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-10-10-03 — recorded 10 Oct 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-10-10-03.html