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The Tabularium · Call 2026-10-14-01Open

Panama's Maritime Authority lists the Bitu, Starway and Mackerel as cancelled or removed from the Panama registry by 2026-11-04.

Illicit Trade / Econ SecurityCentral AmericaPanama
Issued No. 106 · 14 Oct 26  ·  Due 4 Nov 26  ·  Opening call 75% — likely

The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.

The trajectory

The call stands at its probability until revised; each dot is a recorded reading.0%50%100%14 Oct 26 — 75% (No. 106): Opening calltodaydue 4 Nov 2675%14 Oct 26

The record since

The call stands as issued — no revisions.

What would overturn it

A Panamanian court suspension of the cancellation decrees would overturn it; an AMP notice or registry update showing all three removed would confirm it.

The verdict

Open  Resolves by 4 Nov 26 — graded at the weekly Reckoning against the criteria above, and recorded here.

As logged at issue

Likely that Panama’s Maritime Authority lists the Bitu, Starway and Mackerel as cancelled or removed from its registry by 4 November; a Panamanian court suspension of the decrees would overturn it.

Cite this call

The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-10-14-01 — recorded 14 Oct 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-10-14-01.html