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The Tabularium · Call 2026-10-16-04Open

At least one more Latin American country announces it will open or move an embassy to Jerusalem by 2027-10-16.

PartnershipsSouth America & CaribbeanColombiaIsrael
Issued No. 108 · 16 Oct 26  ·  Due 16 Oct 27  ·  Opening call 20% — unlikely

The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.

The trajectory

The call stands at its probability until revised; each dot is a recorded reading.0%50%100%16 Oct 26 — 20% (No. 108): Opening calltodaydue 16 Oct 2720%16 Oct 26

The record since

The call stands as issued — no revisions.

What would overturn it

A second government publicly committing to a date would overturn it.

The verdict

Open  Resolves by 16 Oct 27 — graded at the weekly Reckoning against the criteria above, and recorded here.

As logged at issue

At least one more Latin American country announces it will open or move an embassy to Jerusalem by October 16, 2027. Unlikely. A second government publicly committing to a date would overturn it.

Cite this call

The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-10-16-04 — recorded 16 Oct 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-10-16-04.html