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The Tabularium · Call 2026-10-19-03Open

France, Italy or Spain publicly announces it will stop issuing tourist visas to Russians by 2027-01-31.

PartnershipsEuropeFranceItalySpainRussia
Issued No. 111 · 19 Oct 26  ·  Due 31 Jan 27  ·  Opening call 12% — very unlikely

The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.

The trajectory

The call stands at its probability until revised; each dot is a recorded reading.0%50%100%19 Oct 26 — 12% (No. 111): Opening calltodaydue 31 Jan 2712%19 Oct 26

The record since

The call stands as issued — no revisions.

What would overturn it

A public reversal by any of the three would confirm it.

The verdict

Open  Resolves by 31 Jan 27 — graded at the weekly Reckoning against the criteria above, and recorded here.

As logged at issue

France, Italy or Spain publicly announces it will stop issuing tourist visas to Russians by 2027-01-31. Very unlikely chance. A public reversal by any of the three would confirm it.

Cite this call

The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-10-19-03 — recorded 19 Oct 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-10-19-03.html