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The Tabularium · Call 2026-10-22-03Open

Mexico files treason or an equivalent sovereignty charge against a second current or former official over U.S. involvement in operations by 31 January 2027.

PartnershipsNorth AmericaMexicoUnited States
Issued No. 114 · 22 Oct 26  ·  Due 31 Jan 27  ·  Opening call 15% — very unlikely

The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.

The trajectory

The call stands at its probability until revised; each dot is a recorded reading.0%50%100%22 Oct 26 — 15% (No. 114): Opening calltodaydue 31 Jan 2715%22 Oct 26

The record since

The call stands as issued — no revisions.

What would overturn it

An arrest warrant naming another Chihuahua official would overturn it.

The verdict

Open  Resolves by 31 Jan 27 — graded at the weekly Reckoning against the criteria above, and recorded here.

As logged at issue

Mexico files treason or an equivalent sovereignty charge against a second current or former official over U.S. involvement in operations by 31 January 2027. Unlikely. An arrest warrant naming another Chihuahua official would overturn it.

Cite this call

The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-10-22-03 — recorded 22 Oct 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-10-22-03.html