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The Tabularium · Call 2026-10-26-03Open

Mexican authorities charge or order to trial a second official in the Chihuahua CIA treason case by 2026-12-15.

PartnershipsNorth AmericaMexico
Issued No. 118 · 26 Oct 26  ·  Due 15 Dec 26  ·  Opening call 25% — unlikely

The wording, the opening probability, and the counter-signal below were fixed when this call was published. Updates revise the reading — never the record: the verdict is graded against the opening call.

The trajectory

The call stands at its probability until revised; each dot is a recorded reading.0%50%100%26 Oct 26 — 25% (No. 118): Opening calltodaydue 15 Dec 2625%26 Oct 26

The record since

The call stands as issued — no revisions.

What would overturn it

A federal-level arrest would overturn it.

The verdict

Open  Resolves by 15 Dec 26 — graded at the weekly Reckoning against the criteria above, and recorded here.

As logged at issue

Mexico: unlikely that a second official is charged by 15 December.

Cite this call

The Cursus Publicus, Call 2026-10-26-03 — recorded 26 Oct 26. https://archive.cursuspublic.us/calls/2026-10-26-03.html