Intelligence from the Global Frontier

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Iván Mordisco

Leader, Estado Mayor Central (FARC dissident faction), per Colombian authorities

2 items across 2 editions  ·  last active 30 Sep 26

Running series

Multi-edition arcs this desk appears in — the wire flash, each morning’s edition, and the forecast call on one timeline.

In the brief

No. 92 · Wednesday, 30 September 2026

Drone attacks wound police in Cauca and Chocó as US Embassy warns of elevated attack risk in Norte de Santander

National SecurityColombia
So what?  Drone strikes on a trunk highway and police posts show FARC-dissident and ELN pressure on the corridors that move coca and cargo out of Cauca and the Catatumbo, and they widen the areas where in-country US staff face movement limits. The embassy alert spreading beyond Norte de Santander would confirm that read.
Single-source · Sources: The City Paper Bogotá · US Embassy in Colombia (Sept 29)
No. 37 · Thursday, 6 August 2026

Colombia's defense minister warns of a "terrorism" threat to Friday's inauguration, days after police intercept a 420-kilogram explosives shipment

National SecurityColombia
So what?  A formal terrorism warning this close to a presidential handover signals Bogotá's own security services see the Cauca interdiction as part of an active plot rather than a one-off seizure. With foreign heads of state and Spain's king attending in person, any escalation would immediately draw in the security details and liaison channels those visiting governments run through Bogotá, raising the stakes well past a domestic transition.
Sources: Al Jazeera · El Tiempo (Aug 6, 2026)

Related

Mission areas National Security
Countries Colombia