|
THE CURSUS PUBLICUS
THE RECKONING
rationem reddere — the account, rendered
|
|
|
The account for the week of October 26 · No. IX
1 of 5
1 hits · 4 misses · 20% this week | 227 calls still open
|
|
| Thirteen calls came due this week, but only five could be scored: one held and four missed, with eight set aside as not clear enough to grade. The misses share a shape: we extrapolated a trend (the canal's drought cuts, a partial siege that would hold) past the point where it turned, or bet that a net would widen to the top of a government. The set-asides share another: calls whose answer is a silence, such as no request, no protest, no return, are hard to confirm from open reporting. |
|
The Account by Line
| Illegal Immigration | 0 / 1 | | Illicit Trade & Economic Security | 0 / 1 | | National Security | 1 / 2 | | Transnational Organized Crime | 0 / 1 |
|
|
Notable This Week
National Security Italy Spain |
The call. Italy ends or lets lapse its Schengen controls on arrivals from Spain, with no further extension announced, by October 24, 2026. The verdict. On Oct 22 Italy and Spain's interior ministers agreed the border suspensions would not be extended; no further extension followed. The tell: Italy's controls were a short, week-by-week patch, and once Spain's surge eased there was little appetite to renew. The two interior ministers agreed on October 22 not to extend, and the controls ended. |
Illegal Immigration Yemen |
The call. Houthi forces do not fully encircle Taiz city -- cutting off its last remaining supply corridors -- within 30 days of September 22, 2026 (by October 22, 2026). The verdict. AFP reported Oct 4 that Houthis seized al-Safiya and cut the Taiz-Aden road, leaving Taiz effectively encircled, within the window. What we missed: the Houthi September offensive was already taking ground, and a partial siege is not a stable state. Taking al-Safiya cut the Taiz-Aden road, the city's last lifeline. |
Illicit Trade & Economic Security Panama |
The call. The Panama Canal Authority announces a further cut to daily transit slots beyond September's newly set 32/23 levels within 60 days of August 21, 2026. The verdict. No further cut came: the ACP raised daily slots to 33 on Oct 15 and the Neopanamax draft to 14.94 m on Sep 28, and postponed a planned draft cut. What we missed: we extrapolated a drought-cut trajectory into the rainy season. The authority raised slots to 33 on October 15, after restoring the larger draft on September 28 as lake levels recovered. |
|
|
The Rest of the Ledger
| № 204 | Liberia charges another minister-level official in the $317 million cocaine case — Transnational Organized Crime | Miss |
| № 215 | China coast guard action against a Philippine vessel tied to the Taiwan cutter transfer — National Security | Miss |
| № 205 | Frontex shows a further Western Mediterranean year-over-year rise for September — Illegal Immigration | Non liquet |
| № 206 | Cuba formally requests emergency international help for its grid — Illegal Immigration | Non liquet |
| № 207 | IOM records 2,000+ more North Darfur arrivals in Chad in 30 days — Illegal Immigration | Non liquet |
| № 208 | Sinaloa Governor Rocha Moya stays out of office for 60+ days — Transnational Organized Crime | Non liquet |
| № 210 | Colombia deports fewer than 5,000 Venezuelans in the first 60 days — Illegal Immigration | Non liquet |
| № 211 | Germany extradites the third Skyeton-arson suspect to Slovakia — National Security | Non liquet |
| № 212 | Hormuz stays under an IRGC authorization regime through October 24 — National Security | Non liquet |
| № 214 | A recipient government formally protests Colombia's extradition surge — Partnerships & Engagement | Non liquet |
|
| Lifetime record: 98 hits out of 177 scored calls, 55 percent, with 227 still open. The filter audit held back two items against about sixty published this week, and no category was skewed. The full standing record lives in the Tabularium. |
|
|
|
statim et ubique — swiftly and everywhere
Grades: Hit · Miss · Non liquet (set aside, excluded from the record). Criteria are fixed at publication; the ledger is append-only — nothing is ever removed. The Cursus Publicus is an independent, unofficial project, published by a private individual on their own time and not on behalf of any employer or organization; not affiliated with or endorsed by any government agency. It is drawn exclusively from publicly available, open-source information, with AI assistance, and contains no classified, controlled unclassified, or other nonpublic or protected information.
|
|