Ethiopian Peoples' Forces Coalition for Survival

So what?  External backing from Eritrea — Ethiopia’s wartime ally against the TPLF in 2020-22 — would mark a stark realignment and points toward a longer, more internationalized war rather than a contained regional flare-up, though Addis Ababa’s account also serves its own narrative of external aggression and isn’t yet independently confirmed. A credible threat to the Djibouti corridor bears directly on regional cargo and fuel throughput, and the Afar displacement figure is likely to keep climbing as fighting pushes east.