Intelligence from the Global Frontier

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Ali al-Zaidi

Prime Minister of Iraq

2 items across 2 editions  ·  last active 12 Sep 26

Running series

Multi-edition arcs this desk appears in — the wire flash, each morning’s edition, and the forecast call on one timeline.

In the brief

No. 74 · Saturday, 12 September 2026

Houthis Complete Control of Both Bab al-Mandeb Shores; Saree Warns Off Saudi Shipping Only

National SecurityYemenSaudi ArabiaIraq
So what?  Holding both banks of a major oil chokepoint — a first beyond Hormuz — lets the Houthis threaten Saudi-flagged and Saudi-bound shipping specifically while sparing other traffic, a selective-targeting posture that is harder to deter than a blanket closure threat. The Iraq angle matters more for partner-liaison planning than for shipping: it points to a second, Iran-aligned front operating inside Iraq that Baghdad is moving to contain rather than deny, a distinction that will shape how much Gulf capitals trust Iraqi security cooperation going forward.
Sources: PBS NewsHour · Reuters · ABC News (AP) (September 11-12, 2026)
No. 29 · Wednesday, 29 July 2026

U.S.-Saudi strikes on Iran-backed militias across Iraq kill at least 20, Baghdad opens probe

National SecurityIraqSaudi ArabiaUnited StatesIran
So what?  A strike spread across seven provinces rather than one target signals Washington and Riyadh are treating the militia network as a whole, which raises the odds of scattered retaliation against U.S.- or Saudi-linked sites well beyond Baghdad rather than a single reprisal. Watch whether al-Zaidi's trip to Riyadh produces anything beyond a fact-finding visit, since a government that cannot rein in the PMF factions it nominally oversees leaves Iraq's own attaché and liaison channels exposed to whatever retaliation the Islamic Resistance in Iraq follows through on.
Developing · Sources: Al Jazeera · The National (2026-07-29)

Related

Mission areas National Security
Also appears with Yahya Saree