Kuan Bi-ling

So what?  No boarding has actually occurred despite the sharpest patrol increase yet, which means the pressure campaign is still calibrated to stop short of a seizure that would force a response -- the AIT photo reads as reassurance aimed at both Taipei and Beijing rather than a reaction to an incident that already happened. Watch whether China's patrols start requesting boardings rather than just information, since that would be the first concrete test of whether Taiwan's coast guard actually intervenes as pledged.

So what?  A senior Taiwanese official naming the accumulation problem directly argues against reading any single gray-zone incident in isolation. The operationally useful signal is whether insurers and shippers begin quietly re-routing around the Strait as routine, not any one patrol or incursion — that would be the first hard evidence a "new normal" has actually taken hold.